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It turns out, however, that impressions of the national economy are what really move votes. As one recent study of voting and the economy concluded: “Evidently, voters believe the president has little effect on their local economy, and they do not form their evaluation of the national economy based on surrounding conditions… People form their opinions of the cheap Canada Goose national economy based on non local factors, such as the national media.”

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5. Republicans can’t win without Ohio.

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canadian goose jacket Forget all these “rules.” When Republicans won three consecutive presidential elections in the 1980s, pundits became convinced that the GOP had an electoral college lock. That view lasted exactly as long as the party’s national vote lead did; as soon as Bill Clinton tookthe national lead in 1992, it turned out that some of the Republican “lock” states were swingers after all. Sure, if Romney wins Democratic California, he’s going to win the election, but that’s because if Romney wins California, he’s going to be in the process of a huge national landslide. canadian goose jacket

canada goose The United States has national elections, and what matters almost every time is the national results. Yes, a candidate must find 270 electoral votes in order to win. But in most years, the electoral college margin will be much larger than the popular vote difference. And the rare times, such as in 2000, when canada goose uk black friday the popular vote is very close, it’s not possible to guess in advance which states will be the one or two that really make a difference. canada goose

Read more from Outlook:

canada goose black friday sale Five myths about independent voters canada goose black friday sale

Five myths about conservative voters

Canada Goose Outlet Five canada goose uk shop myths about female voters Canada Goose Outlet

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canada goose clearance sale Swing states: Pundits love to talk about them, and candidates lavish attention on them. Sometimes it seems that the nominees are running for president of the United States of Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida, and that the rest of us are just spectators. But much of what we think we know about these key states, which switch party allegiances with some frequency, has been knocked down by political science research and sometimes, by recent history. Here are a few misperceptions about these in demand states canada goose clearance sale.

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